As of Jan. 23, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market exhibits Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) main at $0.31, adopted by President Joe Biden (D) at $0.29, former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.21, and California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) at $0.12. No different candidate has greater than a $0.10 share value.
The share value, which rises and falls primarily based on market demand, roughly corresponds to the market’s estimate of the likelihood of an occasion happening.
Trump is the one candidate of this group to have formally introduced his presidential marketing campaign.
The Democratic presidential major market exhibits Biden main the pack at $0.52. Two different candidates have a share value at or above $0.10: California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) is at $0.20, and Vice President Kamala Harris (D) is at $0.11.
DeSantis at present leads within the Republican presidential major market at $0.38, adopted by Trump at $0.32. No different candidate has a share value at or above $0.10.
PredictIt is an internet political futures market wherein customers buy shares referring to the result of political occasions utilizing actual cash. Each occasion, resembling an election, has plenty of contracts related to it, every correlating to a distinct end result. Services resembling PredictIt can be utilized to achieve perception into the result of elections. Due to motion from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, PredictIt might halt buying and selling on February 15, 2023.