Study: Florida Dominates List of Most Overvalued Housing Markets

Study: Florida Dominates List of Most Overvalued Housing Markets

Florida metros make up six of the ten most overvalued housing markets within the nation, in keeping with the most recent report from researchers at Florida Atlantic University and Florida International University.

Cape Coral-Fort Myers ranks No. 1, with consumers paying 62.29 % greater than they need to, based mostly on the gross sales historical past in that market. The different Florida markets within the high 10 are: No. 2 Deltona (a 55.51 % premium); No. 4. Palm Bay-Melbourne (54.55 %); No. 6 Tampa (53.54 %); No. 7 Lakeland (51.99 %); and No. 10 North Port-Bradenton (48.41).

The solely different metros within the high 10 are: No. 3 Atlanta (54.88 %); No. 5 Charlotte (54.04 %); No. 8 Boise, Idaho (50.83 %); and No. 9 Las Vegas (48.71 %).

The full rankings with interactive graphics could be discovered here.

The researchers rank the 100 largest metro areas utilizing publicly out there knowledge from on-line actual property portal Zillow or different suppliers. The knowledge, which extends from January 1996 by the tip of final month, consists of single-family houses, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops.

The first rating, in August 2021, had no Florida metros listed within the high 10.

“It was that you simply didn’t want an enormous wage to afford a house within the Sunshine State, however these days are over as a result of this has develop into a market largely for move-up consumers and empty nesters,” mentioned Ken H. Johnson, Ph.D., an actual property economist in FAU’s College of Business. “Florida’s comparatively low incomes ought to make housing affordability a key challenge for a very long time.”

Prospective consumers in Florida hoping the market cools off are unlikely to see costs plummet as they did from 2006 to 2012, mentioned Eli Beracha, Ph.D., of FIU’s Hollo School of Real Estate.

“We don’t count on house costs to fall sharply as a result of our excessive rents serve to help present costs,” Beracha mentioned. “Florida is a really troublesome market to interrupt into now until you’ve gotten knowledgeable wage or the proceeds from a house sale in one other state.”

Markets with growing inhabitants and extreme shortages of houses on the market will see fewer damaging impacts on costs, whereas different areas with stagnant or declining populations and extra houses available on the market may face important value declines, the researchers mentioned.

The researchers’ rating doesn’t contemplate how costly a market historically is. High-cost areas resembling New York and San Francisco are among the many least overvalued as a result of houses in these metros are promoting comparatively near the place they need to be, based mostly on historic traits.