What Do Initial and Continued Claims Suggest About Timing of a Recession? - Mish Talk

What Do Initial and Continued Claims Suggest About Timing of a Recession? – Mish Talk

Initial and continued unemployment claims data from the BLS, months calculation by Mish

Initial and continued unemployment claims information from the BLS, months calculation by Mish

Current information is definitely inside a timeframe that recession might have began. In half of the final eight recessions, a recession had already began on the present numbers.

Continued Claims Monthly Average 

Continued unemployment claims monthly average from the BLS, chart by Mish

Continued unemployment claims month-to-month common from the BLS, chart by Mish